map of china
China to become largest internet user country

Global internet population to hit 2.2 billion by 2013

China to replace US as leading online country, predicts Forrester

Written by Dave Bailey

The number of online users is set to grow 45 per cent to 2.2 billion users in 2013, according to analyst Forrester Research.

In a report titled Global Online Population Forecast, 2008 To 2013, Forrester says the engine of growth for this increase is Asia, especially since 43 per cent of the world’s population will live in the region by 2013.

The top five online nations today are the US, China, Japan, Brazil and Germany. But by 2013 Forrester predicts that China will have more people online than anywhere else. The US will drop to second and India will displace Japan and Brazil, to have the third largest online population.

In the UK, the number of internet users will grow from 41.3 million (69 per cent of the population) to 48.7 million (81 per cent) in 2013.

The area of fastest growth in internet users will be the Middle East and Africa, which currently has eight per cent of the global total, but by 2013 will have 13 per cent.

Online user growth rates in the US, Western Europe, and the major industrialised nations in Asia Pacific such as Australia, Japan, and South Korea, will slow to between one and three per cent.

Such growth rates will inevitably pose the question of whether network infrastructure rollout can cope with the increase over the five-year period. But perhaps a bigger threat would be if the rest of the world wanted a more independent overseer than the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN), which is currently controlled by the US.

Speaking for the European Union recently, Telecoms Commissioner Viviane Reding said: "A moment of truth will come on 30 September this year, when the current agreement between ICANN and the US government expires. This opens the door for the full privatisation of ICANN."

Some experts have warned that this threat could lead to the breakup of the global internet into a collection of local subnets.

  • Have your say
  • Send to a friend
  • Print this
  • Share

reader comments

related articles

IcannEcommerce

Full adoption of generic TLDs could take a decade

Icann predicts slow progress in shake-up of top level domains 15 Jul 2009

 

Intel outlines the next-generation 'reality web'

Forget Web 2.0, the future is 'immersive connective experience' 14 Jul 2009

Google sees new spam players on the horizon

Report speculates on emergence of new hotbeds 02 Jul 2009

Web falls over after Michael Jackson demise

Google News and Twitter among those taken down as people rushed online for news 26 Jun 2009

Government launches UK’s first cyber security strategy

New plan will aim to increase risk monitoring and information sharing capabilities 25 Jun 2009

EU calls for independent governance of the internet

Despite having less than 15 per cent of web users, the US is still effectively in charge of the internet 19 Jun 2009

EU: US must cede control over internet

Information commissioner calls on Obama to address issue of internet governance 06 May 2009

EU calls for US to give up Icann

Viviane Reding demands change at the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers 06 May 2009

US admits responsibility for emissions to bring big polluters together

Hillary Clinton offers admission to ease obstacles towards reaching agreement at climate change summit in Copenhagen 28 Apr 2009

related whitepapers

today's top stories

Police hunt for moles with security software

Lancashire Constabulary to monitor data input of 7,000 staff in bid to prevent intelligence leaks 09 Feb 2010

PaperlinX outsources IT and comms to Bull and BT

Paper company spends €22m on five-year deal for desktop management, helpdesk and datacentre services 05 Feb 2010

Social tools take KM to a new level

Technology expert David Tebbutt explains how – and why – organisations should integrate social networking tools into their knowledge management strategy 02 Feb 2010

EDS court defeat puts vendors on their guard

BSkyB’s victory in a long-running court case against EDS has serious implications for the IT industry 02 Feb 2010

Law firm monitors web traffic violations

Bucks declining global security appliance sales with unified threat management (UTM) platform deployment 01 Feb 2010

Advertisement

Security: The New Face of Intrusion Prevention
An outline of traditional IPS functionality, modern developments and how IPS can be deployed easily.

UK businesses’ attitudes to Cloud Computing revealed

Features results from a survey of over 200 Computing readers.

Advertisement

Keep up to date with the latest products, services and technologies from the world's leading IT companies; ITHound.com brings you over 6,000 white papers, case studies and analyst reports.

Advertisement

Newsletter signup

Sign up for our range of FREE newsletters:

More available - click 'submit' to view

Existing User

Newsletter user login:

Jobs

Related jobs

Job of the week

Job alerts

Sign up here

Find your next job

IT Salary Checker

Check salary here

Advertisement

Latest poll

Internet Explorer 6

Internet Explorer 6

Following recent concerns about the security of Internet Explorer 6 are you planning to phase it out?

View poll results

Latest audio and video articles

Tony McAlisterVideo

Video Q&A: Tony McAlister, CTO, Betfair - Part one

On changing the skills development strategy at the online gambling firm - part one of a two-part video interview 05 Nov 2009

Video

Nokia shows upcoming handset technologies

Mobile phone features of tomorrow take the stage 21 Oct 2009

Latest in-depth articles

Analysis

Police hunt for moles with security software

Lancashire Constabulary to monitor data input of 7,000 staff in bid to prevent intelligence leaks 09 Feb 2010

Businessman with eye patch, dagger and tie round head, sitting at laptopFeatures

Are you sure you're not a pirate?

It is alarmingly easy for an IT leader to unwittingly exceed the scope of a software licence, and the chances of being caught out have never been greater, as technology lawyers Mark Weston and Paul Gershlick explain 09 Feb 2010

Primary Navigation